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URGENT 🚨 SPACEX STOCK PRICE INCLUSION DAY RESEARCH RELEASED ‼️ KNOW THIS BEFORE MONDAY!

► 8,562 views ⏲ 18:40 Watch on YouTube ↗

Summary

SpaceX's NASDAQ-100 inclusion will likely spike Monday then drop within two weeks, based on eight prior additions, so avoid chasing hype and short the fade.

Executive Summary

The video examines SpaceX's upcoming NASDAQ-100 inclusion and warns against chasing the hype, because historical evidence shows these additions reliably drop in the two weeks after inclusion. Reviewing eight previous inclusions—including Palantir, MicroStrategy, Coreweave, and NBIS—the speaker notes that every single one fell within 10 trading days after the ETF-driven purchase surge; Palantir lost 15–20%, MicroStrategy about 20%, and Coreweave 30.7%. The mechanism is that ETFs execute market-on-close orders on the Monday before the official Tuesday inclusion, so the buying pressure vanishes and prices typically fade. The speaker's plan is to play the historical pattern rather than the exception: anticipate a green Monday, then position for a decline within two weeks. He also teases new option plays, a Discord upgrade, and a discount code for his community.

Key Points

  • ▶ 0:00 SpaceX announced for NASDAQ-100 inclusion; official inclusion day is Tuesday, but crucial ETF buying happens Monday at the 4:00 PM close.
  • ▶ 4:32 ETF inclusion mechanics: ETFs place market-on-close orders at Monday's close, then buying pressure disappears, often leading to downward movement Tuesday.
  • ▶ 0:18 The plan is to review eight previous NASDAQ-100 inclusions to compare actual post-inclusion price action against the hype.
  • ▶ 5:23 All five stocks were likely purchased on June 18 as part of an ETF/index inclusion set for June 22.
  • ▶ 6:42 Performance since inclusion is broadly negative: Coreweave is down 30.7%, NBIS down 25%, and Pterodine down 15.72%.
  • ▶ 8:38 Summing up, all five stocks are down within two weeks of the ETF purchase, which the speaker calls "pretty bad" and uses to inform his upcoming decision.
  • ▶ 10:30 Palantir dropped from $80 to $66 within 10 trading days after its December 23, 2024 inclusion—a 15–20% decline.
  • ▶ 11:39 Strategy (MSTR) fell from a $364 inclusion-day high to $285 within 10 trading days, roughly a 20% decline.
  • ▶ 11:59 With Palantir and Strategy both down two weeks later, the record is now seven for seven inclusions showing the same pattern; Axon is the next final check.
  • ▶ 13:16 Eight for eight: every prior NASDAQ-100/QQQ inclusion was “nasty red” within two weeks (10 trading days) of the inclusion-day green candle.
  • ▶ 15:04 Expectation for Monday: positive price motion on inclusion day, then negative motion within two weeks, likely ending below Monday’s close.
  • ▶ 15:44 Strategy: play the historical pattern, not the exception—this inclusion will probably follow the same path even if it initially runs 10–15% higher.
  • ▶ 16:14 Monday is expected to be “massive” for the community; new option plays will be released, and viewers can join via a free 3-day trial with code “freedom” or a lifetime option at 40% off.
  • ▶ 16:41 A major Discord upgrade is coming with Breadbot version 2, alerts, and the speaker’s option plays.
  • ▶ 17:16 Today’s option plays were strong: a Chipotle play sold at 128% up, plus shoutouts to Egon ($2,500 gain in 3 seconds), Anthony, and Powder Stash; the speaker noted modest position sizing and one stop-out but called it a great week.

Video Sections

  • ▶ 0:00 SpaceX NASDAQ Inclusion Preview and ETF Mechanics (0:00 - 5:16) - Covers the NASDAQ-100 inclusion announcement, trading recap, Monday trade plan, and how ETF inclusion pricing tends to behave.
  • ▶ 5:16 June 22 ETF Inclusion Analysis (5:16 - 8:51) - Walks through the five stocks being added and what to expect around the June 22 inclusion date.
  • ▶ 8:51 December 2024 Inclusion Precedents (8:51 - 12:05) - Recaps the December 2024 ETF-inclusion outcomes, including the $80-to-$66 drawdown example and the Strategy inclusion.
  • ▶ 12:05 Axon, Track Record, and Monday Outlook (12:05 - 16:14) - Reviews Axon’s post-inclusion drop, the 8-for-8 red pattern, and the short-term market expectation.
  • ▶ 16:14 Community Wins and Monday Plans (16:14 - 18:38) - Discord promotion, shoutouts to big wins, today’s option play results, and new plays planned for Monday.

Exact Transcript

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