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NASA dumps New Glenn! PLUS SpaceX Starship Flight 12 went worse than we thought!

► 27,733 views ⏲ 18:16 Watch on YouTube ↗

Summary

Artemis faces a dual crisis as Starship's booster crash and New Glenn's explosion undermine both lunar lander options, making the 2028 crewed landing timeline highly unrealistic.

Executive Summary

The video argues that NASA's Artemis program is facing a dual crisis obscured by misleading success narratives, with two "giant red warning lights" flashing for its lunar ambitions. It alleges that Starship Flight 12's booster failed catastrophically during its boostback burn, as multiple new Raptor 3 engines failed to relight, causing the booster to crash into the Gulf at over 1,400 km/h—triggering an FAA mishap investigation, a full program grounding, and real-world commercial air traffic disruptions. Simultaneously, Blue Origin's New Glenn was destroyed in a static-fire pad explosion, forcing NASA to "decouple" its Blue Moon lander from that rocket and scramble for backup launchers like Falcon Heavy or Vulcan, both of which carry their own reliability concerns. The host contends that because no current or near-term rocket can support the crewed Blue Moon Mark 2, and Starship is also faltering, both major Artemis lander options are now suffering major systemic setbacks at the same time. As a result, the optimistic 2028 crewed lunar landing timeline looks highly unrealistic, with commercial partners becoming the main bottleneck for a program already years behind schedule, overshadowing the recent success of Artemis 2.

Key Points

  • ▶ 0:28 Two "giant red warning lights" for NASA's Artemis program: Starship Flight 12's disputed "success" and NASA's decision to drop New Glenn for the Blue Moon lander.
  • ▶ 0:49 Flight 12 is alleged to have gone "significantly worse" than publicly admitted, undercutting claims that Raptor 3 engines ended Starship's reliability problems.
  • ▶ 1:29 With New Glenn grounded after its static-fire explosion, Blue Origin is scrambling for an alternate launch vehicle capable of flying Blue Moon Mark1, threatening Artemis timelines.
  • ▶ 4:47 The booster failed catastrophically during the boostback burn: multiple new Raptor 3 engines failed to relight, most shut down within ~20 seconds, the booster lost control and hit the Gulf at over 1,400 km/h, 300+ km off course.
  • ▶ 5:44 The FAA classified the event as a mishap, grounded the entire Starship program, and opened a federal investigation; the failure also disrupted real commercial air traffic, causing departure delays and airborne holds.
  • ▶ 8:10 The booster failure is a major risk for Artemis: the boostback burn is core to all operational Starship profiles, including lunar missions, and losing multiple new Raptor 3 engines on their maiden flight signals a systemic issue—making optimistic 2028 crewed lunar timelines unrealistic.
  • ▶ 10:10 Blue Origin's New Glenn was destroyed in a pad explosion during a static fire test, taking the booster, upper stage, and significant pad infrastructure out of commission indefinitely, with repairs potentially taking a year or more.
  • ▶ 11:04 NASA is "decoupling" the Blue Moon lander from New Glenn and actively seeking backup launchers; Falcon Heavy is the only realistic SpaceX option, while Vulcan Centaur has its own reliability issues.
  • ▶ 12:41 No current or near-term rocket is capable enough for the crewed Blue Moon Mark 2 lander, and with Starship also faltering, both major Artemis lander options are now facing major setbacks at the same time.
  • ▶ 14:38 Artemis 2's successful launch and splashdown happened less than two months ago, but that triumph is already being overshadowed by mounting delays.
  • ▶ 15:03 The speaker rejects the framing of multiple engine failures, an off-course booster crash, and an uncontrolled ocean impact as successes, arguing this spin hides two flagship commercial programs hitting major systemic snags.
  • ▶ 15:40 Artemis is already years behind schedule — the Moon return slipped from 2024/2026 to 2028 at the earliest, and even that date looks very unlikely, with commercial partners now the main bottleneck.
  • ▶ 16:37 The host challenges SpaceX's narrative on Starship Flight 12, questions whether Falcon Heavy or Vulcan can save Blue Moon Mark 1, and asks if Artemis faces more delays.
  • ▶ 17:01 He calls for audience engagement, urging viewers to subscribe, like the video, and hit the notification bell for unfiltered space news.
  • ▶ 17:16 The host explains YouTube algorithm issues hurt his channel's reach, asking for shares and promoting support options in the video description.

Video Sections

  • ▶ 0:00 Introduction and Starship Flight 12 Context (0:00 - 3:38) - Introduces the two Artemis red flags and sets up Flight 12's Raptor 3 expectations.
  • ▶ 3:38 Flight 12 Telemetry, Booster Failure, and Artemis Risk (3:38 - 10:10) - Details Flight 12's telemetry, booster failure, FAA fallout, and the resulting Artemis risk.
  • ▶ 10:10 New Glenn Explosion and Backup Launcher Options (10:10 - 14:20) - Covers New Glenn's pad explosion, NASA's launcher decoupling, and backup launcher feasibility.
  • ▶ 14:20 Artemis 2 Recollection, Commentary, and Timeline (14:20 - 16:40) - Recalls the Artemis 2 launch moment, then comments on schedule slips and commercial partner struggles.
  • ▶ 16:40 Questions, Call to Action, and Channel Support (16:40 - 17:58) - Asks viewer questions, requests subscriptions, and addresses YouTube algorithm and channel support issues.

Exact Transcript

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